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Poll Finds Growing Support For Trump Impeachment Among New Yorkers

Evan Vucci
/
AP
President Donald Trump arrives for an event in the Rose Garden of the White House on Tuesday.

A poll out Tuesday finds that the majority of New Yorkers approve of the impeachment inquiry conducted by House Democrats against President Trump. That’s not unusual in a blue state like New York, but the Siena College poll finds some broader shifts in voter sentiment regarding impeachment that could be worrisome to the President.

The poll finds that by a 55% to 38% margin, New Yorkers support impeaching and removing President Trump. The data reveals that depending on their party affiliation, New Yorkers continue to be deeply divided on the issue, says Siena poll spokesman Steve Greenberg.

In a state that has a 2-to-1 Democratic edge, 79% of Democrats back impeachment, while 81% of Republicans are against impeachment. Independents are closely divided on the issue, but 49% back impeachment with 47% against it.

The poll also found younger voters are more in favor of impeachment than older voters.

The survey then dug deeper, and asked whether voters believe that Trump has done anything that warrants an impeachment investigation, and whether the House of Representatives is justified in conducting the impeachment inquiry. 60% say, yes the President appears to have done something wrong, and 62% say the House should investigate. Greenberg says the numbers are higher on those questions because slightly more Republicans agree that the inquiry is justified and that the President might have done something wrong. Most who identify with the GOP, however, said they believe the President should not be investigated by Congress. He says the difference lies in the opinions of independent voters.

“Independent voters, on those questions, side with Democrats by about 15 to 20 points,” Greenberg said.

Another question asks who voters trust more to tell the truth, Trump or House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Pelosi wins by a margin of 57% to 30%.

The poll also asked Democrats about their preference for a Presidential candidate, and found Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is now even with former Vice President Joe Biden with both at 21%. In August, Biden was five points ahead of Warren. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders now has 16%, and California Senator Kamala Harris and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg each have 4%. Schenectady native and entrepreneur Andrew Yang has the support of 3% of Democrats. The rest have the backing of 1% or less of the electorate.  

And the poll finds that, for the first time, a plurality of New Yorkers say they support a new law that allows undocumented immigrants to apply for standard driver’s licenses.

The law is set to take effect in mid-December and would make New York the 13th state to allow the licenses.  

In previous surveys by Siena College, the measure was opposed, by over half of New Yorkers. But Greenberg says that’s changing. 48% now support the measure, while 47% remain against it.

“Virtually break even,” said Greenberg. “But it has gone up virtually every time Siena has asked the question.”

The law faces a court challenge from two upstate county clerks, in Erie and Rensselaer Counties.

The New York Immigration Coalition which contends the law will make the roadways safer says, in a statement, that the poll confirms what they have been saying all along. “The more people learn how granting all immigrants access to driver’s licenses makes our roadways safer and strengthens our communities, the more they support it.”

Finally, two-thirds of New York voters say they oppose a proposal that would divide the state into two. 

“New Yorkers don’t like the idea of dividing the Empire State into two states,” Greenberg said.

The legislation has been introduced before. Some Long Island leaders wanted to secede in 2010.

This year’s push is by some upstate lawmakers who have proposed amendments to the state constitution. They say New York City’s influence over state laws and regulations burdens the rest of the state.

But a clear majority of upstate voters opposed the bill.

Statewide, more than three-fourths of Democrats and half of Republicans say no to breaking New York into separate states.

Karen has covered state government and politics for New York State Public Radio, a network of 10 New York and Connecticut stations, since 1990. She is also a regular contributor to the statewide public television program about New York State government, New York Now. She appears on the reporter’s roundtable segment, and interviews newsmakers.
A native Long Islander, J.D. is WSHU's managing editor. He also hosts the climate podcast Higher Ground. J.D. reports for public radio stations across the Northeast, is a journalism educator and proud SPJ member.